Emergence and demergence

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In the beginning of March, Stephen Mumford presented our paper ‘Emergence and Demergence’ at the Causal Powers and Social Science Conference 2016 at Yale University, organised by Philip Gorski (Yale) and Ruth Groff (St. Louis). Since the paper has already provoked a discussion, we thought it best to publish the presentation here. These ideas are still in its early stages and will be developed in more detail in an article. In the meantime, we welcome your feedback. Continue reading

Being a (female) academic

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This week I was invited to talk to the female postdocs at my university about my experience with creating an academic career path for myself, as a woman. This is what I told them. Continue reading

How safe is a condom?

UntitledOn Friends, Rachel becomes pregnant with Ross in spite of using a condom. It comes as a shock to all when they hear that condoms are only 97 percent effective. Or, as Rachel puts it, condoms only work 97 percent of the time. But what does this really mean? Continue reading

The causal value of Big Data. Two views on causation

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Not everything should be approached quantitatively. Is causation perhaps one of them?

Scientific research relies on data, and preferably lots of it. Population studies and statistical models are used to find and establish causal knowledge. The idea is that the more data we have, the better justification we have for our causal hypotheses. Continue reading